When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald ...

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...

Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...

I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...

Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race with a slim margin over Donald Trump ...

It comes after Silver's Monday forecast showed that Trump was the favorite to win the election, with a 50.4 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to Harris's 49.2 percent. The day before, ...

Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

America goes to the polls to decide between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump for the next president. But who did Nate Silver ...