Inflation eased to 4-year low
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The Producer Price Index, a closely watched measurement of wholesale inflation, showed Thursday that the prices paid to US producers dropped 0.5% in April from the month before, a much softer reading than economists expected, while inflation slowed on an annual basis to 2.4%, from 2.9% in March, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data.
Annualized inflation eased to a 2.3 percent pace, the lowest since early 2021. But the month-to-month pace of inflation increased.
U.S. consumer prices rebounded moderately in April as declining food costs partially offset rising rents, leading to the smallest annual increase in four years, but the inflation outlook remains unclear against the backdrop of tariffs.
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U.S. consumers spent slightly more at retail stores last month after ramping up their shopping in March to get ahead of tariffs.
It's normal for some prices to rise at a much faster pace than overall inflation, said Omar Sharif, founder and president of research firm Inflation Insights. The impact, he added, depends on the role such items play in a given person's finances.
German inflation eased further to 2.2% in April, the federal statistics office said on Wednesday, confirming preliminary data.
Because it's based on third-quarter inflation, it's impossible to predict the 2026 COLA with any degree of accuracy. Because of the ongoing tariff back-and-forth, as well as a generally slowing U.S. economy, the inflation rate on the back end of the year is more uncertain than it usually is.