Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night
Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night.Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction model,
"It isn't capturing the story of this election": Nate Silver takes down model favoring Harris
The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts
Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.
Nate Silver’s Final Election Model: ‘Quite Ridiculous’
That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his model for the final time this year. To get deep in the weeds, Silver ran 80,000 election simulations using his model, which includes polls weighted in different ways, plus inputs ...
Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast
Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer than a coin flip.
Kamala Harris' Chances of Winning a Landslide, According to Nate Silver
Vice President Kamala Harris ' chances of winning seven key swing states and securing a landslide victory are 12.6 percent—nearly half the 21.4 percent likelihood of former President Donald Trump achieving the same result, according to pollster Nate Silver.
Nate Silver's final forecast: "As close as you can possibly get to 50/50"
When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala Harris ' 50.15 percent chance of winning the superstar election handicapper's final forecast.
Nate Silver's Closest Call Yet: How 2024's Election Stands Apart From His Predictions In 2016 And 2020
Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race with a slim margin over Donald Trump, based on 80,000 simulations.
Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict the 2024 election?
Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?
Nate Silver Gives Election Prediction as Favorite To Win Changes
Polling expert Nate Silver has issued a fresh election forecast just hours before polls open, with a new favorite to win, while the race is still neck and neck. According to Silver's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump 's 49.
How Nate Silver Responded to Election Results
I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...
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UPDATE: Nate Silver Takes Down Model Slightly Favoring Kamala Harris As It ‘Isn’t Capturing The Story’
Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...
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Spirit Of '2016 Posting' Returns On Eve Of Election, As Woman Compares Pollsters Nate Silver And Anne Selzer To Feuding Aunt And Uncle
The spirit of 2016 Twitter returned just in time for the 2024 Presidential Election yesterday, as actress and comedian Amy ...
Election wizard gives final call on Harris-Trump battle after shock Iowa poll
That’s the call from data guru Nate Silver when it comes to the battle between former GOP President Donald Trump and ...
Harris closes campaign in Philadelphia, Trump in Michigan on eve of deadlocked election
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris both predicted victory as they campaigned across Pennsylvania and other battleground states on ...