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Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night
Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night.Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction model,
"It isn't capturing the story of this election": Nate Silver takes down model favoring Harris
The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts
Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.
Nate Silver’s Final Election Model: ‘Quite Ridiculous’
That’s what
election
prognosticator
Nate
Silver
wrote after running his model for the final time this year. To get deep in the weeds,
Silver
ran 80,000
election
simulations using his model, which includes polls weighted in different ways, plus inputs ...
Nate Silver Gives Election Prediction as Favorite To Win Changes
It comes after Silver's Monday forecast showed that Trump was the favorite to win the election, with a 50.4 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to Harris's 49.2 percent. The day before, Trump had a 52.6 percent chance of winning to Harris's 47 percent.
Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict the 2024 election?
Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?
Nate Silver's final forecast: "As close as you can possibly get to 50/50"
When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala Harris ' 50.15 percent chance of winning the superstar election handicapper's final forecast.
Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast
Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer than a coin flip.
Nate Silver's Closest Call Yet: How 2024's Election Stands Apart From His Predictions In 2016 And 2020
Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. presidential race with a slim margin over Donald Trump, based on 80,000 simulations.
Who did top polling guru Nate Silver predict to win the US presidential election?
America goes to the polls to decide between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump for the next president. But who did Nate Silver say would win?
Donald Trump's Chances of Winning a Landslide, According to Nate Silver
Former president's chances of winning seven key swing states are nearly twice the vice president's odds, says top pollster Nate Silver.
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Election guru Nate Silver accuses pollsters of putting ‘finger on the scale,’ lying to keep presidential race close
Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some ...
Mediaite
4h
UPDATE: Nate Silver Takes Down Model Slightly Favoring Kamala Harris As It ‘Isn’t Capturing The Story’
Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...
knowyourmeme
16h
Spirit Of '2016 Posting' Returns On Eve Of Election, As Woman Compares Pollsters Nate Silver And Anne Selzer To Feuding Aunt And Uncle
The spirit of 2016 Twitter returned just in time for the 2024 Presidential Election yesterday, as actress and comedian Amy ...
1d
Election wizard gives final call on Harris-Trump battle after shock Iowa poll
That’s the call from data guru Nate Silver when it comes to the battle between former GOP President Donald Trump and ...
1d
Harris closes campaign in Philadelphia, Trump in Michigan on eve of deadlocked election
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris both predicted victory as they campaigned across Pennsylvania and other battleground states on ...
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2024 U.S. Elections
The latest news on national races.
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Kamala Harris
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