Oil spills can be among the most devastating environmental disasters, with the potential to severely damage marine ecosystems ...

Weather predictions are uncertain by nature. This uncertainty is dynamically assessed by a finite set of trajectories, called ensemble members. Unfortunately, ensemble prediction systems underestimate ...

BACKGROUND We consider the problem of quantifying the human lifespan using a statistical approach that probabilistically forecasts the maximum reported age at death (MRAD) through 2100. OBJECTIVE We ...

A novel Bayesian Hierarchical Network Model (BHNM) is designed for ensemble predictions of daily river stage, leveraging the spatial interdependence of river networks and hydrometeorological variables ...

However, Bayesian’s fate is also a stark reminder of how climate change is increasing the intensity of storms at sea and making Mediterranean weather more unpredictable than ever. “Violent events are ...